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预防结算Prevention Settlement 可结算证据Billable Evidence PSM 因果归因Causal Attribution
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体验 四步闭环 演示系统Experience the 4-Step Loop Demo

按顺序完成四个步骤:输入患者数据 → 查看个性化干预方案 → 运行PSM因果归因 → 生成可结算证据报告。Complete four steps in sequence: enter patient data → view personalized intervention → run PSM causal attribution → generate billable evidence report.

⚠️ 模拟演示 · 数据为示例,非真实患者Simulation Demo · Sample data, not real patients
STEP 01
🎯
预测Predict
输入患者数据Enter patient data
STEP 02
💊
干预Intervene
等待预测完成Waiting for prediction
STEP 03
⚖️
归因Attribute
等待干预完成Waiting for intervention
STEP 04
📄
结算Settle
等待归因完成Waiting for attribution
🎯 心血管风险预测🎯 Cardiovascular Risk Prediction
输入患者临床特征,模型实时输出风险评分和SHAP特征归因Enter patient clinical features for real-time risk scoring and SHAP attribution
27
预测结果Prediction Results
模型输出 · AUC 0.839 · 16维特征Model Output · AUC 0.839 · 16-dim Features
预测完成Prediction Complete
风险百分位Risk Percentile
<200ms
推理延迟Inference Latency
SHAP 特征重要性Feature Importance
← 输入患者数据后点击"运行风险预测"← Enter patient data and click "Run Risk Prediction"
💊 个性化干预方案💊 Personalized Intervention Plan
基于风险因子自动生成的针对性干预建议Auto-generated targeted intervention based on risk factors
干预轨迹记录Intervention Trajectory Log
结构化记录 · PSM归因的必要数据输入Structured logging · Required data input for PSM attribution
轨迹已记录Trajectory Logged
T=1
干预分配变量Treatment Assignment
干预项目数Intervention Items
12mo
预设随访期Follow-up Period
记录时间Timestamp
✅ 干预分配变量(T=1)已生成
✅ 基线风险评分已关联
✅ 干预方案结构化记录完成
✅ 数据已准备好进入PSM归因流程
✅ Treatment assignment (T=1) generated
✅ Baseline risk score linked
✅ Intervention plan structurally logged
✅ Data ready for PSM attribution pipeline
← 确认干预方案后生成轨迹记录← Confirm intervention plan to generate trajectory log
⚖️ PSM 因果归因⚖️ PSM Causal Attribution
倾向评分匹配 · 消除选择偏倚 · 量化因果效应Propensity Score Matching · Eliminate Selection Bias · Quantify Causal Effect
PSM将对干预组中的每位患者,在对照组中找到基线特征最相似的匹配对象,消除可观测的选择偏倚。匹配后的效果差异才具有因果解释力。 PSM finds the most similar control match for each treated patient, eliminating observable selection bias. Only the post-matching effect difference has causal interpretability.
248
干预组样本量Treatment Group N
1:1
匹配比例Matching Ratio
0.2σ
卡钳宽度Caliper Width
16
协变量数Covariates
归因结果Attribution Results
ATT · 置信区间 · SMD匹配质量ATT · Confidence Intervals · SMD Match Quality
归因完成Attribution Complete
ATT (Average Treatment Effect on Treated)
-0.087
95% CI: [-0.112, -0.062]
p < 0.001 ✓ 统计显著Statistically Significant
匹配质量 · SMD对比Matching Quality · SMD Comparison
变量Variable匹配前Pre匹配后Post状态Status
年龄Age0.310.04
BMI0.240.06
收缩压SBP0.190.05
吸烟史Smoking0.280.07
基线风险Baseline Risk0.350.03
所有协变量匹配后 SMD < 0.1,匹配质量良好All covariates SMD < 0.1 post-match, good matching quality
← 点击"运行PSM因果归因"← Click "Run PSM Causal Attribution"
📄 可结算证据报告📄 Billable Evidence Report
符合 NMPA RWE 标准 · PDF + JSON 双格式输出NMPA RWE Compliant · PDF + JSON Dual Format Output
报告已生成Report Generated
PSM 因果归因证据报告Causal Attribution Evidence Report Level 2 · RWE
报告编号Report ID
干预类型Intervention Type综合干预Combined
随访时长Follow-up12 个月months
干预组 NTreatment N248
匹配后 SMDPost-match SMD0.042 (<0.1 ✓)
主要结局 ATTPrimary Outcome ATT-0.087 (p<0.001)
95% CI[-0.112, -0.062]
次要结局Secondary收缩压 -4.3mmHgSBP -4.3mmHg
方法论标准MethodologyNMPA RWE 2020
下载 PDF 报告Download PDF
导出 JSONExport JSON
四步闭环完成4-Step Loop Complete
从预测到结算的完整因果链路Complete causal chain from prediction to settlement
闭环完成Loop Complete
🎯
预测 ✓Predict ✓
风险评分已输出,基线协变量已锁定Risk score output, baseline covariates locked
💊
干预 ✓Intervene ✓
干预方案已确认,轨迹已结构化记录Plan confirmed, trajectory structurally logged
⚖️
归因 ✓Attribute ✓
ATT = -0.087,p < 0.001,因果效应显著ATT = -0.087, p < 0.001, significant causal effect
📄
结算 ✓Settle ✓
可结算证据报告已生成,符合NMPA RWE标准Billable evidence report generated, NMPA RWE compliant
这就是预防结算的完整闭环This is the complete prevention settlement loop
四步因果链路完整,证据可被支付方接受Complete 4-step causal chain, evidence acceptable by payers
← 生成报告后查看闭环总结← Generate report to see loop summary